Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.179518 0.205334 0.234237 0.269118 0.310240 0.357379 0.415790
2025-11-16 0.136357 0.169518 0.210482 0.265349 0.337732 0.431111 0.562579
2025-11-23 0.111066 0.146417 0.193262 0.260982 0.358216 0.495689 0.710103
2025-11-30 0.097510 0.134766 0.187040 0.267555 0.391781 0.581973 0.907059
2025-12-07 0.084684 0.121500 0.175566 0.263241 0.406794 0.641845 1.076694
2025-12-14 0.076097 0.112859 0.169091 0.264629 0.429843 0.717917 1.292816
2025-12-21 0.068863 0.105134 0.162639 0.264486 0.449533 0.791388 1.523915
2025-12-28 0.064102 0.100602 0.160490 0.270914 0.481517 0.893668 1.843137
2026-01-04 0.059600 0.095876 0.157265 0.274686 0.508883 0.992631 2.186888
2026-01-11 0.055731 0.091725 0.154413 0.278527 0.536835 1.098915 2.584308
2026-01-18 0.052834 0.088905 0.153513 0.285840 0.573159 1.232117 3.099931
2026-01-25 0.049471 0.084872 0.149854 0.287001 0.596283 1.340233 3.589970
2026-02-01 0.046191 0.080725 0.145632 0.286664 0.616733 1.449136 4.136570
2026-02-08 0.043035 0.076510 0.140824 0.284433 0.632554 1.551210 4.712755
2026-02-15 0.039998 0.072225 0.135393 0.280022 0.642218 1.639515 5.287355
2026-02-22 0.038392 0.070570 0.135109 0.287223 0.682930 1.828687 6.338991
2026-03-01 0.035863 0.066835 0.130075 0.282547 0.691278 1.923291 7.072127
2026-03-08 0.034096 0.064488 0.127746 0.284056 0.717055 2.081486 8.180574
2026-03-15 0.032350 0.062027 0.124910 0.283901 0.738163 2.231533 9.357857
2026-03-22 0.031279 0.060887 0.124879 0.290887 0.782046 2.476777 11.203933
2026-03-29 0.030076 0.059358 0.123803 0.294987 0.818162 2.707478 13.175167
2026-04-05 0.028963 0.057927 0.122804 0.299162 0.855655 2.958649 15.510774
2026-04-12 0.028155 0.057102 0.123145 0.307115 0.907745 3.291598 18.738162